Choosing The Right Time
One should definitely take into account the tournament’s phase. Usually, the favorites in any championship start the season half-and-halfer, whereas the “inveterate” outsiders, on the contrary, can easily succeed in the beginning and even get to the top of the table. Teams whose lineups got noticeably renewed take time to show good team-work; hence, it is not surprising when teams stuffed with star level players suddenly stall at the start of the championship (or even longer). During this time, by the way, it is especially profitable to feed on bookmakers that overstate the coefficients for outsiders. In addition, a good number of sensational results occur on the early stages of cups (national, league or Euro cups), especially if the winner is decided in a single match: having underestimated the opponent, lacking motivation etc. In fact, in national cups and especially in league cups it is beneficial to bet against the favorites on any stage down to the quarterfinals. This is why choosing time for betting is essential.
The championship’s middle stage, which is approximately its second and third quarter, is usually very foreseeable: it gets more or less clear who claims what, and on the other hand, for the majority of teams there is no acute need in getting points, which liberates and gives more chances to take “own” points, i.e. win predictably.
However, the final stage (the last quarter) of a circular tournament is almost as hard to forecast, as the first one (unless it is a corrupted championship, where it is exactly the opposite – knowing all the backstage intrigues it is very easy to foresee): many teams gain a sense of increased commitment to the result, which was discussed earlier in this article.
